Blog

About this blog

I plan on using this blog to publish short analyses which, I hope, will benefit many. Depending on the topic, they will vary in complexity: sometimes involving the estimation of statistical models and in other cases data visualization. These analyses will be motivated by my curiosity, current topics, and sometimes by data releases. If you have any idea, please do not hesitate to share them with me.

Latest Post

Jun 5, 2025

Fertilizer price forecasts update - June 2025

I last posted fertilizer price forecasts about a year ago. It’s more than time for an update. You can catch an occasional updated forecast by following my company page on LinkedIn or my personal account on Bluesky. On these platforms, I post a chart daily and fertilizer price forecasts are part of the rotation. I’ve improved my forecast algorithms. With updates to the models with recent data, the main drivers of fertilizer prices in Canada have changed. Read more

All Posts

2025

  • Jun 5, 2025 - Fertilizer price forecasts update - June 2025
  • May 15, 2025 - Some thoughts about supply management, trade negotiations, and the number of farms
  • Apr 15, 2025 - The impacts of 25% US tariffs on the Canadian cattle and beef industry
  • Feb 4, 2025 - The impacts of 25% US tariffs on the Canadian hog and pork industry
  • Jan 7, 2025 - Is Canada agriculture in a recession?
  • 2024

  • Oct 9, 2024 - Milk prices: understanding CDC’s methodology
  • Oct 3, 2024 - Farm land droughts in Canada
  • Sep 18, 2024 - Forecasts of farm gate milk prices in Canada: lower prices in 2025?
  • Jun 11, 2024 - Fertilizer price forecasts update - June 2024
  • Apr 18, 2024 - The growth of farmland values in Canada
  • Mar 5, 2024 - Fertilizer price forecasts update - March 2024
  • Feb 15, 2024 - Canada’s agri-food trade and the prospect of increased protectionism
  • Feb 5, 2024 - Forecasts of Quebec farm gate milk prices
  • Jan 8, 2024 - Maps of Canadian farms III: infrastructure
  • 2023

  • Dec 6, 2023 - What do recession indicators tell us, again?
  • Nov 28, 2023 - Estimates of damages to Canadian canola growers caused by China’s import restrictions
  • Oct 26, 2023 - Fertilizer prices forecasts update - October 2023
  • Oct 12, 2023 - Maps of Canadian farms II: selected sectors
  • Jul 17, 2023 - Maps of Canadian farms
  • Jun 21, 2023 - Fertilizer prices forecasts update - June 2023
  • Jun 5, 2023 - Quebec and Ontario hog prices responses to market shocks abroad
  • Feb 15, 2023 - Fertilizer prices forecasts update
  • Feb 10, 2023 - Trends in pigs per litter: Canada versus the United States
  • Jan 11, 2023 - What do recession indicators tell us?
  • 2022

  • Dec 1, 2022 - Trends in Canada dairy sector
  • Nov 16, 2022 - October 2022 inflation
  • Nov 14, 2022 - What are the drivers of fertilizer prices in Canada?
  • Nov 7, 2022 - How to read inflation data